Another TBB post featuring the most eclectic links around the web such as why stocks are up again, AI vs everything, who goes MAGA, the problem with rewards credit cards, the five key changes in the new tax law, index fund investing turning into extreme sport, sales taxes in each US state, how banks handle scams, tokens, who came up with the name pickleball, best things to do in Bangkok, more UNESCO sites, Pan Am is back, the best photography links and of course always all of the most important developments in the crazy world of frequent flyer miles and points at the lower half of the post. Enjoy the weekend and stay cool.
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This blog started way back in 2012 focusing on my crazy hobby addiction of traveling with frequent flyer miles, hotel and bank points. It has since evolved to curated posts featuring the best web content along with my commentary.
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BLOG HOUSEKEEPING
This is truly a one man labor of love operation, enjoy it while it lasts.
PERSONAL FINANCE
Well, we are at all time stock market highs again. Remember, over the short term anything can happen. Ignore the “gurus” out there who always make fools of themselves making predictions. Only to court more media attention again and again. Markets are too dynamic to explain short term movements, stop and instead focus on what you can control: Why Are Stocks Up? Nobody Knows. A torrent of bad news hasn’t been enough to sink the market.
The stock market is different: A smart strategist can make a surprisingly accurate guess about what stocks will do over a decade. Saying how it will do this quarter is routine, and routinely wrong—there is simply too much noise and emotion.
Maybe this is happening because the US economy just keeps on ticking? Time will tell as it always does. Enjoy the summer and never ever fall in love with the highest numbers in your portfolio.
We need to get used to the new realities from the tax law passed earlier this month: 5 Key Tax Changes Advisors Need to Know in 2025. For many taxpayers, keeping track of charitable donations is back in the mix.
I was one of the first advisors who went to 100% indexing with ETF portfolios more than 20 years ago. And then you won’t believe what happened next. It has gotten totally out of control out there lately: How Index-Fund Investing Turned Into an Extreme Sport. Exchange-traded funds are becoming far more concentrated, amplifying risks.
The irony is that many people worry about how concentrated the S&P 500 is in only a handful of huge tech companies. They then turn around and concentrate their own portfolios in an even riskier handful of stocks. Let’s be clear: Bundling a limited number of stocks inside an ETF doesn’t make them safe.
We now have ETFs that capture the returns of heating, ventilation and air-conditioning stocks; own convertible bonds issued by companies that hold bitcoin in their corporate treasury; use borrowed money to buy already leveraged loans; follow an index of small-to-midsize uranium stocks; track the future cost of transporting crude oil by sea; and replicate the performance of Icelandic stocks. Although some are actively managed, many charge fees 20 to 30 times higher than a traditional index fund.
Excellent dive into what is happening lately: Is America Breaking The Global Economy? What an Age of Economic Uncertainty Will Mean for the World.
We focus on income taxes a lot around here. But never forget about other taxes: How does your state’s sales tax compare?
The new tax law will fight inflation, just kidding smh:
SCAMS/CRYPTO/AI/TECH
You can take a deep dive and download the full report of the 2025 AI vs. Everything we care about research study. Some key findings:
People think AI will worsen almost everything we care about, even as they rank AI low on their list of concerns.
This was such a painful read: Millions Stolen, Death Threats: Should Banks Do More to Fight ‘Pig Butchering’? Scams that trick people into transferring funds fall outside most current fraud protections. Some victims want banks to take responsibility.
It starts out like this below and then it gets more painful. Be careful out there.
For nearly 50 years, Anamarie Hurt trusted her husband, Craig, to manage their finances. And he did a good job of it, making investments that grew into a comfortable nest egg. Then Craig walked into a bank in Tulsa, Okla., and began moving their retirement funds into cryptocurrency investments that turned out to be fake. A year later, after losing more than $5 million, the Hurts’ life savings were gone.
There is so much memeing going on. Tokens and stuff. Some good thoughts on the subject here: Lindy’s Law. If you are going to take a shot with one of these things, be okay with losing it all. If that is good with you, go ahead YOLO it lol. Me and my clients can sure afford to roll the dice and our situation will not be impacted at all if we lose it all. Have we done it? Nope.
Lindy’s law can, though, help us think about risk management. It tells us that when something is new—no matter how logical, safe or secure it may seem—we should be more careful. In situations involving new financial instruments, investing small amounts, or investing incrementally, may make more sense.
Thanks for the Bangkok link. Going to Jim Thompson’s house is one of our favorite things. I love the architecture, the rich color of the wide floorboards and fantasize about how I could live in it until I remind myself about the lack of ensuite bathroom.
Why do all the dolts that get scammed immediately blame the bank and take no responsibility for their foolishness? I find it strange they were able to transfer those amounts with no questions asked. This week WF froze my account for a suspicious transfer of $5k and that transfer was to myself. And I’m sorry, but if you are in a marriage you need to take an interest in the finances instead of just waiting until it is all gone to moan. Spouses who choose to not show any interest in the finances do my head in. That’s all fine until there is a divorce or death.
Greetings from Utah! This place totally lives up to the hype. In addition to the national parks I urge y’all to take a day to drive highway 12, which really ought to be another national park.
One of my now departed friends, a performing magician, taught finance. He got a lot of grief for talking about things like Ponzi schemes. Can’t happen, he was told, in this world of cheap information. That was, of course, before Madoff.
I think there is a law out there … if it “can’t happen” it will happen.
Thanks for the links!
Good stuff and enough to spend a couple hours on this weekend! Thank you! You are a hero!
I am kinda with Vicky on a lot of this scamming stuff when only one person in a relationship/marriage takes any responsibility for things then screams bloody murder about stuff they should have been aware of something going on. That said, the incredibly rare times I have moved a chunk of change the banks all seem to be having me under a microscope. I do not mind as that makes me feel they are watching out for me. It does make me wonder why that guy’s bank didn’t say anything about the huge amounts being moved around.
I have to mention I love all the posts you put up with great photos. I always look at them!
Just signed up for 4 new CC’s. Used none of your links.
Just thought you should know
General commentary on the WSJ piece about that couple losing so much money to obvious scams:
Very tough situation. Of course they are to blame but…but…the brain is obviously impaired. And this shit is only going to get worse with so many aging to that point. Of course the guy needed to get his wife involved and she obviously had to take the initiative. Just a preventable and just horrible situation to be involved in.
This article has been talked about in the financial advisor community…bigly. Some are in strong favor of the advisor who tried to talk the dude out of it. But, I mean, really? If this happened to me I would talk to the wife pronto first of all and try to get her to snap out of it and confront the dude. Hopefully another trusted contact is on record…but they have no kids, remember that. I would at the very least get this guy to sign a paper saying “this is my action alone and my advisor is totally against it and I would not take legal action”. Naaah, phuck it, I would go straight to their home and confront them (like I did years ago when a client flipped out during the Great Financial Crisis in late 2008). And have my resignation papers handy because they are not taking my advice. And when that happens…what is the point of being their financial advisor.
This shit is only going to get worse with AI being let loose…
I agree this problem is going to magnify and it does concern me as we age and being in the situation of no children, I want to smack the women my age who when I try to get them to take an interest tell me oh husband has all that under control. They have no idea where the money is, how much or what it is invested in. Seriously, it is not cute a 60 yo acting like a bimbo when it comes to money. And as for the scamming, my sister closed her account with one bank because they kept asking personal questions about her transfers. FFS, she is the exact person who will end up scammed because they have danced through life from financial mistake to next mistake and then will blame everyone else but themselves. We are investigating options to protect ourselves. We don’t have a family member with common sense that would outshine a gnat and finding a trusted financial advisor is difficult.
@ Vicky: You took Gold. I marked the rest tardy 🙂
They blame the bank because the bank has deep pockets. Careful with WF. Client saw a big withdrawal the same day and called and got the money back, proceeded to change all passwords of course. So true, the spouses must get involved. But sometimes it is not easy for them. Like my wife…but if something happens to me she knows who to call and I am sure she will have lots of fun spending it all lol.
@ NickPFD: Yeah, Utah is great, enjoy.
@ DML: It always gets back to greed and fear. So, ponzis will probably never end. And with AI you won’t believe what will happen next 🙁
@ Carl: Hero, like a super hero? 🙂 It’s a tough call. What if they did trying to make sure it was him and he said “Yeah, it’s me, it’s my money”…The insult on top of this is having to file the tax return to report this IRA distribution…yikes.
@LFederer: I did get a laugh reading your comment, thank you! Hopefully you gave the 4 app clicks to another blogger you read and appreciate. Maybe Frequent Miler, he has full time salaries and benefits to pay. I don’t and my imaginary intern signed on to the TBB mission to do this as a labor of love LOL.
A Hawaiian BBQ place opened in Ann Arbor, heading there for dinner today. Thanks to the reader who got an IHG Premier card, sale #4 this month.
Enjoy your summer weekend everyone.
I don’t think you could go wrong throwing that Amex to HI/AS. Sure it will devalue but good deals will still be there. Hunting in the off season for multiple months down the road has scored me fancy stuff, like QR Qsuites, to most recently a one-way from my burg to BKK with segments in PE on Starlux for 35K AS miles. Am counting on better living through chemistry for getting zzzs on that last one.
I would have added to the T&L Bangkok list: spending an hour watching the world go by at the Erawan Shrine. It’s a sacred intersection of religion, dance, music, art, and hope.
Want to add a sincere thank you for continuing to plug away at this. Always informative and entertaining!